Espinho vs Castro Daire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
BMA
1 - 1
ESP
57%
24%
20%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ESP
4 - 0
VCO
89%
8%
3%
|
38 | 11 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 1
ESP
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
ESP
46%
27%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 0
RDA
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 1
CAS
9%
17%
74%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 3
SAO
34%
23%
43%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
BMA
20%
21%
60%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 1
ESP
33%
24%
43%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 2
VCO
86%
10%
4%
|
32 | 10 | 22 | 0 |