CAF Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 7-1
ES Tunis vs Dynamos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.6%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
GAB
0 - 2
ESP
43%
29%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 1
STA
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
CLU
1 - 2
ESP
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 1
BRI
76%
15%
9%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 0
ASD
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Dynamos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
DYN
4 - 1
BLA
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
DYN
0 - 1
MON
47%
27%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
DYN
1 - 0
LIG
11%
18%
71%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | -3 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DYN
3 - 0
HAR
46%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +3 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LIG
2 - 2
DYN
87%
10%
3%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | -2 |