Esperança de Lagos vs Pinhalnovense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
60.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperança de Lagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
JUV
5 - 3
EDL
50%
21%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
EDL
2 - 0
SER
40%
23%
37%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CON
4 - 3
EDL
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
LOU
2 - 1
EDL
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
EDL
1 - 2
FCB
39%
24%
38%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pinhalnovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
PIN
3 - 0
IMO
14%
21%
65%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
OLH
0 - 1
PIN
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 3
PIN
52%
21%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
PIN
1 - 0
MON
50%
22%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
PIN
0 - 2
AMO
28%
26%
46%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |