Esperança de Lagos vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.1%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
83.3%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
12%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.4%
0-4
8.7%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
12.2%
0-5
5%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.7%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.1%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperança de Lagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ORI
1 - 2
EDL
66%
21%
14%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
EDL
0 - 1
SIN
33%
24%
44%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
PIN
2 - 1
EDL
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
EDL
2 - 1
OLH
11%
19%
70%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +3 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
LOU
4 - 0
EDL
68%
18%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
PEN
3 - 1
MAF
31%
28%
42%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
POR
1 - 2
PEN
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 2
VIL
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
OLI
2 - 1
PEN
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 0
SPC
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |