Esperança de Lagos vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperança de Lagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
EDL
1 - 2
LOU
22%
25%
53%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
EDL
3 - 3
MON
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 3
EDL
32%
22%
46%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
EDL
0 - 1
VST
9%
18%
73%
|
29 | 64 | 35 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ALJ
1 - 0
EDL
15%
18%
66%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
MOU
1 - 3
AMO
16%
23%
61%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
PIN
2 - 1
MOU
70%
18%
13%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
MOU
53%
21%
26%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
JUV
4 - 1
MOU
47%
23%
31%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
VST
2 - 1
MOU
78%
16%
6%
|
24 | 64 | 40 | 0 |