Espanyol vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2008 |
DEP
1 - 2
ESP
37%
28%
35%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
ATM
1 - 2
ESP
51%
25%
24%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2007 |
ESP
1 - 1
DEP
62%
22%
16%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
ESP
1 - 0
LEV
71%
19%
11%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
ZAR
3 - 3
ESP
48%
25%
27%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2008 |
VIL
2 - 1
UDL
77%
16%
6%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
VIL
1 - 1
REC
61%
23%
16%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2007 |
AEK
1 - 2
VIL
14%
19%
68%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
GET
1 - 3
VIL
32%
27%
41%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
VIL
0 - 1
BET
63%
23%
14%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | -1 |