Inter-Cities Fairs Cup . 1/16
Global 7-6
Espanyol vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
VCF
2 - 1
ESP
80%
13%
7%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
ESP
2 - 0
PON
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
BET
1 - 1
ESP
60%
22%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1965 |
ESP
4 - 3
SCP
36%
24%
40%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1965 |
ESP
2 - 1
SAB
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
ACA
1 - 2
SCP
34%
24%
42%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
SCP
3 - 0
BEL
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
VST
1 - 2
SCP
36%
24%
40%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1965 |
ESP
4 - 3
SCP
36%
24%
40%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
SCP
5 - 0
SPB
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |