Espanyol vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
68.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SEV
2 - 0
ESP
67%
21%
13%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 0
ALA
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
BET
2 - 2
ESP
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 2
ATM
19%
24%
57%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
MLL
1 - 0
ESP
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
RMA
1 - 2
SHF
89%
8%
3%
|
94 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
RMA
0 - 0
VIL
65%
19%
16%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
RMA
6 - 1
MLL
85%
11%
4%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VCF
1 - 2
RMA
18%
22%
60%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
INT
0 - 1
RMA
38%
24%
38%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |