Espanyol vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1942 |
GRA
2 - 2
ESP
43%
22%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
ESP
1 - 2
SEV
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
ATH
2 - 1
ESP
74%
14%
12%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
ESP
5 - 0
OVI
62%
18%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
VCF
3 - 0
ESP
72%
15%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1942 |
RMA
1 - 3
ATM
68%
17%
15%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
CEL
2 - 1
RMA
42%
23%
35%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
RMA
0 - 0
CAS
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
BET
3 - 1
RMA
29%
24%
46%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
RMA
2 - 1
ZAR
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |