Espanyol vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
8.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
ATH
0 - 0
ESP
79%
12%
9%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
ESP
1 - 1
RSO
71%
16%
14%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
OSA
2 - 3
ESP
33%
23%
43%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
ESP
3 - 1
ATM
57%
19%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1953 |
ATM
5 - 2
ESP
76%
13%
11%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
RSO
2 - 1
RJA
75%
15%
11%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
RJA
1 - 0
ATM
30%
23%
47%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
FCB
6 - 2
RJA
92%
6%
3%
|
66 | 91 | 25 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
RJA
3 - 1
SEV
33%
25%
43%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +2 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
GRA
4 - 2
RJA
54%
21%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |