España U21 vs Italia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
España U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
SVN
0 - 3
ESP
9%
17%
74%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
ESP
3 - 0
ISR
78%
16%
7%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
ESP
2 - 0
FRO
93%
6%
1%
|
86 | 43 | 43 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
ESP
3 - 0
KAZ
88%
10%
2%
|
86 | 46 | 40 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
FRO
0 - 2
ESP
5%
12%
83%
|
86 | 42 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Italia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
CZE
1 - 1
ITA
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
ITA
4 - 1
SWE
57%
23%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
LUX
0 - 4
ITA
5%
13%
82%
|
78 | 34 | 44 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
ISL
1 - 2
ITA
18%
22%
61%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
ITA
2 - 0
IRL
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |