España U21 vs Italia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.1%
22.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points