Spain U21 vs Belgium U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
7.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
BIH
0 - 2
ESP
14%
22%
64%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2004 |
ESP
3 - 1
SCT
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
FRA
1 - 1
ESP
43%
28%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
ESP
3 - 0
DNK
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 1
NOR
73%
16%
10%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
BEL
3 - 0
LTU
73%
17%
11%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
NOR
2 - 3
BEL
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2004 |
NLD
2 - 1
BEL
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
BEL
4 - 2
EST
84%
11%
4%
|
66 | 35 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2003 |
BEL
0 - 2
HRV
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |