Escuela Macul vs Municipal Santiago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
68.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Escuela Macul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
TRA
5 - 0
MAC
81%
14%
5%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 3
JOA
14%
20%
66%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
RAS
4 - 1
MAC
79%
14%
6%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
PIN
7 - 0
MAC
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
MSA
3 - 0
MAC
81%
14%
5%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal Santiago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MSA
1 - 0
PIN
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MSA
3 - 1
TRA
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
JOA
1 - 1
MSA
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MSA
0 - 0
RAS
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
MSA
3 - 0
MAC
81%
14%
5%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |