European U21 Championship qualifying Group I Round 1

Escocia U21 vs Lituania U21 analysis

Escocia U21 Lituania U21
62 ELO 56
-2.3% Tilt -0.6%
3768º General ELO ranking 7350º
45º Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
64.9%
Escocia U21
20.5%
Draw
14.6%
Lituania U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
Escocia U21
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.6%
Win probability
Lituania U21
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Escocia U21
-10%
-19%
Lituania U21

ELO progression

Escocia U21
Lituania U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Escocia U21
Escocia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 1999
SCO
Escocia U21
2 - 0
Bosnia U21
BIH
66%
20%
14%
62 54 8 0
07 Sep. 1999
EST
Estonia U21
0 - 4
Escocia U21
SCO
31%
24%
45%
62 43 19 0
04 Sep. 1999
BIH
Bosnia U21
2 - 5
Escocia U21
SCO
37%
26%
37%
61 56 5 +1
08 Jun. 1999
CZE
República Checa U21
3 - 2
Escocia U21
SCO
65%
21%
15%
61 70 9 0
27 Apr. 1999
GER
Alemania U21
2 - 1
Escocia U21
SCO
78%
15%
7%
62 75 13 -1

Matches

Lituania U21
Lituania U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 1999
BEL
Bélgica U21
3 - 0
Lituania U21
LTU
72%
18%
10%
56 68 12 0
03 Sep. 1999
LTU
Lituania U21
0 - 2
República Checa U21
CZE
23%
24%
54%
57 71 14 -1
08 Jun. 1999
EST
Estonia U21
0 - 2
Lituania U21
LTU
38%
24%
38%
56 45 11 +1
04 Jun. 1999
BIH
Bosnia U21
2 - 1
Lituania U21
LTU
51%
23%
27%
57 55 2 -1
30 Mar. 1999
LTU
Lituania U21
4 - 1
Estonia U21
EST
67%
18%
15%
56 46 10 +1