Escalona vs Rayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Escalona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
GUA
3 - 1
ESC
67%
18%
15%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ALC
1 - 1
ESC
36%
23%
41%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ESC
4 - 1
CRQ
43%
22%
35%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BTO
0 - 0
ESC
75%
15%
11%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
ESC
1 - 4
POL
44%
24%
32%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 0
RAY
63%
18%
20%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
RAY
3 - 1
ALC
54%
19%
27%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CRQ
4 - 4
RAY
52%
19%
28%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
RAY
0 - 5
BTO
27%
20%
53%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
POL
9 - 0
RAY
48%
21%
31%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |