Escalona vs Rayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
22.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Escalona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
POL
1 - 1
ESC
64%
20%
17%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ESC
2 - 1
BAR
59%
20%
22%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 2
ESC
45%
23%
33%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
ESC
3 - 1
ALC
53%
20%
27%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
TAL
3 - 1
ESC
75%
15%
10%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
RAY
2 - 2
TDR
52%
20%
28%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
COL
1 - 1
RAY
47%
22%
31%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CAM
4 - 1
RAY
61%
19%
20%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
RAY
0 - 5
POL
28%
23%
49%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 1
RAY
38%
21%
42%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |