Esbjerg vs Nykøbing FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
3º
5º
3º
37
6º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
59 | 22 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 15 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
|
1º
|
69 | 14 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 14 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 12 |
5º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 5 |
6º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
23.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
76.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
ESB
6 - 0
AKA
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
MID
0 - 2
ESB
25%
25%
51%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AAF
2 - 0
ESB
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ESB
3 - 2
ROS
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
LFA
2 - 1
ESB
13%
20%
68%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Nykøbing FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
ROS
5 - 1
LFA
64%
21%
16%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
LFA
1 - 4
AAF
17%
22%
62%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
AKA
1 - 1
LFA
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MID
2 - 0
LFA
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
LFA
2 - 1
ESB
13%
20%
68%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |