Danish Superliga Normal Season Round 4

Esbjerg vs AGF Aarhus analysis

Esbjerg AGF Aarhus
70 ELO 77
4.4% Tilt 12.1%
1096º General ELO ranking 283º
16º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
29.4%
Esbjerg
25.7%
Draw
44.8%
AGF Aarhus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
Esbjerg
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
44.8%
Win probability
AGF Aarhus
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Esbjerg
-14%
-10%
AGF Aarhus

ELO progression

Esbjerg
AGF Aarhus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Esbjerg
Esbjerg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jul. 2016
VFF
Viborg FF
2 - 1
Esbjerg
ESB
40%
27%
33%
71 71 0 0
23 Jul. 2016
ESB
Esbjerg
0 - 4
Kobenhavn
FCK
25%
27%
48%
71 85 14 0
17 Jul. 2016
BIF
Brøndby IF
4 - 0
Esbjerg
ESB
52%
25%
23%
72 81 9 -1
09 Jul. 2016
VFF
Viborg FF
0 - 1
Esbjerg
ESB
38%
25%
37%
71 70 1 +1
01 Jul. 2016
ESB
Esbjerg
1 - 2
AC Horsens
ACH
51%
23%
26%
71 66 5 0

Matches

AGF Aarhus
AGF Aarhus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jul. 2016
AGF
AGF Aarhus
1 - 2
Randers
RAN
49%
25%
26%
78 78 0 0
26 Jul. 2016
AGF
AGF Aarhus
1 - 3
Galatasaray SK
GAL
23%
23%
54%
78 86 8 0
22 Jul. 2016
AGF
AGF Aarhus
2 - 1
Viborg FF
VFF
55%
24%
21%
77 71 6 +1
17 Jul. 2016
SON
SonderjyskE
1 - 2
AGF Aarhus
AGF
53%
23%
24%
77 80 3 0
09 Jul. 2016
AGF
AGF Aarhus
1 - 2
Lyngby BK
LYN
57%
22%
21%
76 67 9 +1