Erpeldange vs Berdorf Consdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
17.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
11º
9º
30
7º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erpeldange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
ERP
3 - 1
AVE
12%
20%
68%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MER
1 - 0
ERP
77%
13%
9%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
HOS
2 - 1
ERP
61%
18%
21%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ERP
2 - 3
COL
87%
9%
4%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PRE
1 - 2
ERP
28%
21%
51%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Berdorf Consdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
JUS
3 - 3
BER
85%
9%
6%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BER
2 - 3
FEU
14%
17%
70%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
FCA
2 - 1
BER
43%
21%
36%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BER
2 - 3
KEH
18%
18%
63%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BER
1 - 2
MLI
46%
22%
32%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |