Erndtebrück vs Finnentrop/Bamenohl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
52%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
12º
18º
15º
47
3º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erndtebrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ERN
1 - 2
PRE
19%
20%
62%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
LEN
1 - 2
ERN
8%
12%
80%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SCH
5 - 1
ERN
68%
18%
15%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
3 - 0
ERN
49%
22%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ERN
2 - 4
GUT
25%
23%
52%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Finnentrop/Bamenohl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SFB
4 - 2
TVC
45%
22%
33%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
WIE
5 - 1
SFB
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
WAT
2 - 1
SFB
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SFB
6 - 0
DSC
57%
20%
24%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SPR
0 - 1
SFB
53%
19%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |