Oberliga Bayern Nord round 15

Erlangen-Bruck vs ASV Neumarkt analysis

Erlangen-Bruck ASV Neumarkt
21 ELO 22
14.8% Tilt 2%
27369º General ELO ranking 5980º
801º Country ELO ranking 295º
ELO win probability
40.4%
Erlangen-Bruck
22.8%
Draw
36.8%
ASV Neumarkt

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
Erlangen-Bruck
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
36.8%
Win probability
ASV Neumarkt
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Erlangen-Bruck
+21%
-60%
ASV Neumarkt

ELO progression

Erlangen-Bruck
ASV Neumarkt
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Erlangen-Bruck
Erlangen-Bruck
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2018
ERB
Erlangen-Bruck
2 - 3
Ammerthal
AMM
25%
21%
54%
21 29 8 0
15 Sep. 2018
AUB
Aubstadt
3 - 0
Erlangen-Bruck
ERB
80%
13%
7%
21 37 16 0
07 Sep. 2018
ERB
Erlangen-Bruck
3 - 1
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
18%
18%
64%
20 31 11 +1
01 Sep. 2018
BAY
Bayern Hof
1 - 0
Erlangen-Bruck
ERB
77%
14%
9%
20 28 8 0
25 Aug. 2018
ERB
Erlangen-Bruck
0 - 5
Würzburger FV
WUR
21%
22%
57%
21 35 14 -1

Matches

ASV Neumarkt
ASV Neumarkt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2018
SEL
Seligenporten
0 - 0
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
73%
16%
11%
23 35 12 0
15 Sep. 2018
TSV
TSV Abtswind
1 - 1
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
59%
20%
21%
23 25 2 0
09 Sep. 2018
NEU
ASV Neumarkt
1 - 5
Ammerthal
AMM
31%
24%
46%
25 28 3 -2
01 Sep. 2018
AUB
Aubstadt
6 - 0
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
75%
16%
10%
26 40 14 -1
24 Aug. 2018
NEU
ASV Neumarkt
2 - 1
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
24%
21%
56%
25 31 6 +1