SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Neuss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
HAM
1 - 0
ERK
49%
24%
26%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
ERK
1 - 1
WUP
27%
26%
47%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
EGE
2 - 0
ERK
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
ERK
0 - 1
LEV
54%
23%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
PRE
2 - 0
ERK
62%
22%
17%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Neuss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
NEU
1 - 1
BSC
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
F95
3 - 1
NEU
85%
11%
5%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
NEU
1 - 1
KÖL
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
AAA
3 - 4
NEU
85%
11%
5%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
NEU
1 - 3
GUT
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |