Erizana vs U.D. Mos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
38.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erizana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
POR
2 - 3
ERI
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
LGU
3 - 1
ERI
54%
20%
26%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ERI
0 - 4
CAS
38%
22%
40%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
6 - 2
ERI
27%
22%
51%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ERI
2 - 0
UDE
66%
18%
16%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
U.D. Mos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
MOS
1 - 0
LGU
50%
22%
28%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
MOS
40%
24%
36%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MOS
1 - 1
ARC
29%
24%
47%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
UMI
2 - 2
MOS
70%
17%
13%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
MOS
2 - 0
CAS
58%
22%
20%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |