Erizana vs La Guía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
18.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erizana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NIE
2 - 5
ERI
36%
22%
43%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ERI
1 - 3
TYD
48%
22%
31%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
ERI
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ERI
1 - 1
MAR
32%
22%
46%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
RIV
3 - 1
ERI
49%
22%
29%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
La Guía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SAL
4 - 0
GUI
64%
19%
17%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GUI
3 - 2
NIE
64%
18%
19%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TYD
1 - 2
GUI
67%
19%
15%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
GUI
3 - 5
CHA
10%
14%
76%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
GUI
82%
12%
6%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | +2 |