Erizana vs La Guia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
53.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erizana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 2
ERI
85%
11%
5%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ERI
2 - 3
MAR
49%
22%
29%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
UDE
3 - 0
ERI
68%
18%
14%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ERI
1 - 3
ARC
39%
23%
38%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CAM
4 - 0
ERI
63%
20%
17%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
La Guia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 2
LGU
33%
22%
45%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
LGU
3 - 4
ARC
44%
22%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
UMI
1 - 2
LGU
77%
13%
10%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
LGU
1 - 1
CAS
31%
22%
47%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
GON
0 - 2
LGU
45%
21%
34%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |