Eritrea vs Rwanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2000 |
KEN
0 - 0
ERI
81%
13%
7%
|
9 | 68 | 59 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
RWA
1 - 0
ERI
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 62 | 53 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
ERI
0 - 2
SEN
9%
21%
71%
|
9 | 72 | 63 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1999 |
KEN
1 - 0
ERI
78%
14%
8%
|
9 | 67 | 58 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1999 |
SEN
6 - 2
ERI
82%
15%
4%
|
9 | 72 | 63 | 0 |
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2000 |
RWA
2 - 1
KEN
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2000 |
RWA
1 - 0
ZIM
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
ZAM
0 - 2
RWA
78%
15%
6%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
RWA
1 - 0
ERI
83%
11%
6%
|
62 | 9 | 53 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2000 |
RWA
2 - 0
UGA
23%
26%
52%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +2 |