Eritrea vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
67.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
SDN
3 - 0
ERI
84%
12%
5%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
RWA
3 - 1
ERI
75%
17%
9%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
ERI
1 - 1
RWA
15%
22%
63%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
ERI
0 - 3
SSD
15%
21%
63%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
TAN
4 - 0
ERI
72%
18%
9%
|
35 | 66 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 3
ETH
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 0
BFA
31%
28%
42%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 1
LSO
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
LSO
0 - 0
BOT
25%
29%
46%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
UGA
2 - 0
BOT
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |