Erfurt-Nord vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
69.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erfurt-Nord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2004 |
ERF
2 - 2
GER
32%
25%
42%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
AUE
3 - 2
ERF
61%
21%
17%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
ERF
1 - 1
POS
28%
25%
47%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
ERF
1 - 0
DRE
29%
24%
47%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
ZWI
1 - 3
ERF
85%
11%
4%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2004 |
CZJ
2 - 0
DRE
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
GER
1 - 1
CZJ
14%
20%
66%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
CZJ
0 - 1
PLA
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
AUE
2 - 3
CZJ
12%
19%
69%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CZJ
2 - 0
HAL
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |