Envigado vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
41%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CUC
1 - 1
ENV
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
AGU
1 - 1
ENV
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ENV
1 - 1
HUI
39%
27%
35%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
JUN
1 - 2
ENV
72%
18%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
ENV
0 - 0
NAC
28%
25%
47%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
IND
2 - 2
PER
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
IND
1 - 1
ONC
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 1
IND
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
IND
4 - 3
RIO
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
IND
3 - 1
TOL
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |