Ardziv vs St Clément Montferrier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+242%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
9º
10º
13
9º
12º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 35 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
36.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
82.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
77% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardziv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ASC
0 - 0
EUA
16%
18%
66%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
EUA
2 - 0
COR
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
AGD
3 - 2
EUA
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
EUA
1 - 0
ESF
84%
11%
5%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
EUA
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
St Clément Montferrier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
STC
2 - 1
RSV
10%
15%
75%
|
8 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
STC
1 - 2
ASC
16%
18%
67%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
COR
0 - 0
STC
86%
10%
5%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
STC
0 - 4
AGD
11%
17%
72%
|
9 | 33 | 24 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ESF
2 - 1
STC
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |