Energie Cottbus vs Lichtenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
14º
1º
27
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 52 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 49 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 16 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 13 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Energie Cottbus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
LUC
1 - 0
COT
18%
21%
61%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
COT
0 - 2
ALT
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
ERZ
3 - 1
COT
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
BAB
0 - 1
COT
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ERF
2 - 2
COT
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
LIC
3 - 4
ERF
15%
22%
64%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GER
1 - 1
LIC
26%
21%
53%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
LIC
1 - 1
GRE
28%
26%
47%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
BFC
3 - 2
LIC
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MAH
1 - 2
LIC
25%
20%
54%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |