Energie Cottbus vs Greifswalder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
14º
1º
37
9º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 52 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 49 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 16 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 13 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Energie Cottbus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TEN
0 - 4
COT
12%
18%
70%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
COT
2 - 1
VIK
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
HER
0 - 5
COT
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
COT
3 - 1
LOK
56%
22%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
CZJ
1 - 1
COT
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Greifswalder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 2
ERF
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GER
0 - 0
GRE
15%
19%
66%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 1
BFC
26%
24%
50%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 2
BAB
49%
26%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TEN
0 - 3
GRE
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |