Serie A round 16

Empoli vs Torino analysis

Empoli Torino
88 ELO 91
-9.7% Tilt -11%
82º General ELO ranking 35º
15º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
35.7%
Empoli
27.5%
Draw
36.7%
Torino

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
Empoli
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
36.7%
Win probability
Torino
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Empoli
Their league position
Torino
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
19º
17º
44
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Napoli
82
82
100%
Inter
81
81
100%
Atalanta
74
77
100%
Juventus
67
70
63%
Roma
66
69
38%
Lazio
65
68
42%
Fiorentina
62
63
44%
Milan
63
63
47.5%
Bologna
62
62
71.5%
Como
10º
49
49
10º
100%
Udinese
12º
44
45
11º
34.5%
Torino
11º
44
44
12º
34.5%
Genoa
13º
43
43
13º
100%
Cagliari
14º
36
36
14º
67.5%
Hellas Verona
15º
34
35
15º
56%
Parma
16º
33
33
16º
47.5%
Empoli
18º
31
32
17º
22.5%
Lecce
17º
31
31
18º
57%
Venezia
19º
29
29
19º
87%
AC Monza
20º
18
18
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Empoli
Torino
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
65% 100%
Relegation
35% 0%

ELO progression

Empoli
Torino
Roma
Hellas Verona
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Empoli
Empoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2024
VER
Hellas Verona
1 - 4
Empoli
EMP
47%
25%
28%
88 86 2 0
04 Dec. 2024
FIO
Fiorentina
2 - 2
Empoli
EMP
79%
14%
7%
88 94 6 0
30 Nov. 2024
ACM
Milan
3 - 0
Empoli
EMP
79%
15%
6%
88 96 8 0
25 Nov. 2024
EMP
Empoli
1 - 1
Udinese
UDI
40%
27%
33%
88 89 1 0
08 Nov. 2024
LEC
Lecce
1 - 1
Empoli
EMP
43%
26%
31%
88 85 3 0

Matches

Torino
Torino
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Dec. 2024
GEN
Genoa
0 - 0
Torino
TOR
41%
26%
33%
91 89 2 0
01 Dec. 2024
TOR
Torino
0 - 1
Napoli
NAP
20%
25%
55%
91 97 6 0
24 Nov. 2024
TOR
Torino
1 - 1
AC Monza
ASS
52%
26%
22%
91 88 3 0
09 Nov. 2024
JUV
Juventus
2 - 0
Torino
TOR
68%
21%
11%
91 98 7 0
03 Nov. 2024
TOR
Torino
0 - 1
Fiorentina
FIO
29%
26%
45%
91 93 2 0