Empoli vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
EMP
2 - 1
PAP
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
EMP
1 - 0
TRA
38%
25%
38%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
EMP
3 - 0
SER
94%
5%
1%
|
78 | 24 | 54 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 1
EMP
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
EMP
1 - 1
SAL
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 0
PON
88%
9%
3%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
USC
2 - 0
SPA
63%
21%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
SPA
3 - 1
VIR
84%
11%
5%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 2
SPA
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SPA
3 - 0
FRO
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |