CS Emelec vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
UCH
0 - 1
EME
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
LOJ
0 - 2
EME
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
EME
5 - 2
MUS
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 1
EME
30%
27%
44%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
EME
3 - 0
BSC
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
UCE
2 - 2
AUC
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
CUE
1 - 2
UCE
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
UCE
0 - 1
IVT
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
UCE
0 - 1
BSC
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
LIG
1 - 2
UCE
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |