Copa Libertadores . Last 16
Global 1-1
CS Emelec vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
EME
1 - 0
RIV
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
BSC
2 - 1
EME
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
LIG
1 - 1
EME
28%
26%
47%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
MAC
4 - 3
EME
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
EME
1 - 1
IVT
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
TAL
1 - 1
SLO
30%
28%
42%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2017 |
SLO
1 - 0
BAN
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2017 |
COL
2 - 1
SLO
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
SLO
2 - 1
RIV
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
RAC
2 - 1
SLO
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |