CS Emelec vs Fuerza Amarilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
4 - 2
EME
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
EME
1 - 0
DEL
80%
13%
7%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
EME
2 - 2
OLI
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +3 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
IVT
0 - 2
EME
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
EME
0 - 1
NAC
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fuerza Amarilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
FAM
2 - 2
DEL
52%
28%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
IVT
3 - 1
FAM
72%
16%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FAM
2 - 0
NAC
49%
29%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CUE
3 - 0
FAM
39%
29%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
FAM
1 - 0
LIG
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |