CS Emelec vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
EME
4 - 0
LOJ
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2015 |
TIG
2 - 0
EME
54%
25%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
EME
1 - 0
TIG
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
EME
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
BSC
2 - 0
EME
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
IVT
2 - 3
BSC
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 2
IVT
30%
27%
43%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 0
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
LOJ
0 - 2
IVT
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 1
AUC
66%
21%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |