CS Emelec vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
EME
2 - 3
PUM
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AUC
1 - 2
EME
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
TAC
1 - 0
EME
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
EME
2 - 1
FAM
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
4 - 2
EME
34%
27%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -3 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AUC
1 - 2
EME
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
DEL
0 - 0
AUC
39%
30%
32%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
AUC
1 - 0
IVT
36%
25%
38%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
AUC
0 - 0
NAC
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CUE
2 - 2
AUC
38%
29%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |