Ely City vs Kirkley & Pakefield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
60.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ely City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
HTF
1 - 1
ELY
83%
11%
6%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ELY
3 - 1
WHI
41%
22%
38%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
WIS
5 - 1
ELY
38%
23%
40%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
FAK
3 - 1
ELY
73%
16%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ELY
3 - 2
HAD
42%
22%
36%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kirkley & Pakefield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
KIR
0 - 1
HAD
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LKF
2 - 1
KIR
26%
22%
52%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
KIR
1 - 2
FAK
42%
23%
36%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
KIR
0 - 1
THE
64%
19%
18%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 4
KIR
58%
21%
21%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +2 |