3. Liga Temporada Regular. Jor. 4

SV Elversberg vs Zwickau analysis

SV Elversberg Zwickau
59 ELO 59
19.9% Tilt 7.2%
827º General ELO ranking 3344º
37º Country ELO ranking 95º
ELO win probability
45.7%
SV Elversberg
23.9%
Draw
30.4%
Zwickau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
SV Elversberg
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.4%
Win probability
Zwickau
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SV Elversberg
+2%
-4%
Zwickau

Points and table prediction

SV Elversberg
Their league position
Zwickau
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
35
20º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SV Elversberg
74
74
100%
Freiburg II
73
73
100%
VfL Osnabrück
70
70
100%
Wehen Wiesbaden
70
70
100%
1. FC Saarbrücken
69
69
100%
Dynamo Dresden
69
69
100%
Waldhof Mannheim
60
60
100%
1860 München
57
57
100%
Viktoria Köln
55
55
100%
Verl
10º
49
49
10º
100%
Ingolstadt 04
11º
47
47
11º
100%
MSV Duisburg
12º
46
46
12º
100%
B. Dortmund II
13º
45
45
13º
0%
Erzgebirge Aue
14º
45
45
14º
0%
Rot-Weiss Essen
15º
42
42
15º
100%
Hallescher FC
16º
41
41
16º
100%
SV Meppen
17º
37
37
17º
100%
VfB Oldenburg
18º
35
35
18º
0%
Zwickau
19º
35
35
19º
0%
Bayreuth SpVgg
20º
32
32
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
SV Elversberg
Zwickau
Promotion
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

SV Elversberg
Zwickau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SV Elversberg
SV Elversberg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Aug. 2022
VFB
VfB Oldenburg
2 - 3
SV Elversberg
ELV
35%
26%
40%
59 54 5 0
06 Aug. 2022
ELV
SV Elversberg
0 - 2
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
36%
24%
40%
59 63 4 0
30 Jul. 2022
ELV
SV Elversberg
4 - 3
B. Leverkusen
LEV
5%
14%
81%
58 88 30 +1
23 Jul. 2022
ROT
Rot-Weiss Essen
1 - 5
SV Elversberg
ELV
45%
25%
29%
57 57 0 +1
09 Jul. 2022
WAL
Waldhof Mannheim
0 - 1
SV Elversberg
ELV
63%
20%
17%
56 64 8 +1

Matches

Zwickau
Zwickau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Aug. 2022
ZWI
Zwickau
0 - 1
MSV Duisburg
MSV
52%
24%
24%
59 53 6 0
06 Aug. 2022
MEP
SV Meppen
3 - 0
Zwickau
ZWI
29%
25%
47%
60 55 5 -1
24 Jul. 2022
ZWI
Zwickau
3 - 2
Hallescher FC
HAL
42%
26%
33%
60 58 2 0
16 Jul. 2022
CZJ
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
2 - 2
Zwickau
ZWI
19%
20%
61%
60 49 11 0
13 Jul. 2022
ZWI
Zwickau
0 - 4
Queens Park Rangers
QPR
27%
24%
49%
60 69 9 0
X