Elmshorn vs Bergedorf 85 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elmshorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
GER
0 - 2
ELM
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
ELM
3 - 2
BRA
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 1
ELM
21%
23%
56%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 4
ELM
27%
24%
49%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
ELM
4 - 1
MEI
52%
22%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bergedorf 85
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BER
2 - 2
PIN
37%
23%
39%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CON
7 - 2
BER
64%
20%
16%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
BER
2 - 2
ALT
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BER
0 - 3
HAL
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
GER
5 - 1
BER
62%
19%
20%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |