Elite vs Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ELI
0 - 0
SCH
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ELI
4 - 2
SUN
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +13 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ELI
1 - 0
GEO
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ELI
3 - 0
ROM
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2016 |
CAY
2 - 3
ELI
52%
20%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ACA
2 - 2
SUN
59%
19%
22%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ACA
2 - 1
GEO
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ROM
0 - 0
ACA
40%
22%
37%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAY
3 - 2
ACA
49%
21%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
BOD
3 - 1
ACA
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |