Elgin City vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
10º
9º
44
4º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AYR
4 - 1
ELG
65%
20%
16%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ELG
1 - 1
ALB
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
STE
2 - 0
ELG
38%
24%
38%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
ELG
2 - 1
DUF
82%
12%
6%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ELG
1 - 1
BLA
51%
24%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
STR
0 - 1
BRA
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
STR
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
STI
1 - 0
STR
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 3
STR
45%
24%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
STR
0 - 4
ALB
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |