Elgin City vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
68.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
BLA
4 - 0
ELG
64%
19%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
AYR
0 - 0
ELG
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
ELG
0 - 4
RFC
28%
21%
52%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 3
ELG
18%
21%
61%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
KEI
0 - 5
ELG
15%
20%
66%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
QOS
2 - 2
STJ
21%
24%
55%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
STJ
0 - 0
BLA
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
STJ
3 - 2
COV
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
CIV
1 - 1
STJ
7%
17%
76%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 1
STJ
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |