Elgin City vs Queen of the South analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
59.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
ELG
2 - 4
STJ
12%
20%
68%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
BLA
4 - 0
ELG
64%
19%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
AYR
0 - 0
ELG
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
ELG
0 - 4
RFC
28%
21%
52%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 3
ELG
18%
21%
61%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Queen of the South
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
QOS
2 - 2
STJ
21%
24%
55%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
AYR
0 - 3
QOS
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
QOS
2 - 3
BLA
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
QOS
3 - 1
HAM
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
RAI
1 - 2
QOS
65%
19%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |