Elgin City vs Drumchapel United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ELG
1 - 1
BLA
51%
24%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ELG
1 - 2
EAS
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 1
ELG
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
ELG
1 - 2
STI
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ELG
0 - 0
CLY
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Drumchapel United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
DUF
1 - 0
EDI
6%
12%
83%
|
19 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 4
DUF
62%
18%
20%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NAI
1 - 3
DUF
67%
17%
15%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
DUF
3 - 0
EAS
26%
20%
54%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |