Elgin City vs Bonnyrigg Rose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
10º
9º
39
1º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DUM
1 - 2
ELG
53%
25%
23%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
ALB
3 - 0
ELG
31%
25%
45%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ELG
0 - 1
STR
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AYR
4 - 1
ELG
65%
20%
16%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ELG
1 - 1
ALB
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bonnyrigg Rose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 1
FOR
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 1
STE
38%
24%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 2
STI
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
STR
0 - 1
BRA
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 2
BLA
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |