Elgin City vs Berwick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
AIR
0 - 2
ELG
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
ALB
1 - 3
ELG
28%
23%
49%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
BRE
2 - 1
ELG
23%
22%
55%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ELG
0 - 2
COV
26%
24%
51%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
STI
1 - 0
ELG
22%
22%
55%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Berwick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
BER
0 - 1
KHE
8%
15%
77%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
BER
2 - 2
CUM
20%
21%
59%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
EAS
3 - 2
BER
89%
9%
2%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
GAL
2 - 2
BER
75%
14%
10%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
BER
1 - 3
CIV
17%
19%
64%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |